TITEL
Prediction of vehicle trajectories with map data for cooperative systems
FöRFATTARE
Fernandes Boesel, Diego
INSTITUTION
Rymdvetenskap, Kiruna /
SAMMANFATTNING
Cooperative systems are being investigated to increase road safety. Here,
vehicles and road infrastructure will establish a wireless network to
communicate safety-related information. A vehicle will obtain a perception
of the environment extended in time and space, when compared with the
perception achieved by the driver or by the current active safety systems.
Applications, such as support to lane keeping and frontal collision
warning, will be able to provide an earlier anticipation of hazards. For
that, the predicted trajectories of vehicles should span longer time ahead
than todate.
This work aimed to develop an algorithm to predict trajectories of vehicles
for cooperative systems. The specific objectives were the prediction up to
5s ahead of (1) vehicle trajectories in straight and curved roads of one
lane, and (2) vehicle route in urban junctions. The algorithm should be
suitable for any vehicle in a cooperative system.
It was implemented an algorithm that fuses trajectories based on the vehicle
motion and on the vehicle motion constrained to the road. An innovative
model to predict trajectories of vehicles based on their motion was
proposed. The model is the most accurate and among the fastest, when
compared with models in the literature. In addition, a breakthrough
algorithm was implemented to predict vehicle route in urban junctions. The
algorithm achieves a high rate of correct predictions up to 5s ahead of the
junction, while keeping the rate of false predictions near zero.
Prediction of trajectories were analyzed in different driving cases.
Finally, the algorithms implemented were demonstrated in a cooperative
scenario. Data was acquired on real time with vehicles that were exchanging
information during the drive. The algorithm runs offline, but no design
change is needed for real time execution.
ISSN 1653-0187 / ISRN LTU-PB-EX--09/073--SE / NR 2009:073
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